Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 59.614672 67.780737 76.182437 85.439291 95.319814 105.520119 116.816338
2025-06-29 46.526501 58.067109 70.543069 84.893682 100.813636 117.814254 137.225007
2025-07-06 37.591488 50.656482 65.347442 82.800615 102.702413 124.451308 149.786188
2025-07-13 33.805117 48.434610 65.396061 86.036252 110.040475 136.696262 168.170985
2025-07-20 30.159891 45.863780 64.607154 87.921408 115.513263 146.580872 183.689587
2025-07-27 26.045871 42.244824 62.180966 87.538464 118.071505 152.915248 194.992111
2025-08-03 22.397862 38.827393 59.680579 86.784249 119.955668 158.281860 205.025733
2025-08-10 19.817602 36.552200 58.396261 87.331450 123.241089 165.164343 216.716758
2025-08-17 17.120835 33.833625 56.322363 86.709350 124.961804 170.089020 226.034947
2025-08-24 15.078913 31.836655 55.035141 86.948462 127.630352 176.060443 236.521449
2025-08-31 12.883945 29.370401 52.935463 85.992485 128.699870 180.026209 244.567643
2025-09-07 11.630564 28.229782 52.568317 87.228281 132.461144 187.208132 256.418354
2025-09-14 10.518419 27.225122 52.353133 88.664665 136.512060 194.810822 268.878952
2025-09-21 8.922274 25.215586 50.564811 87.891303 137.677529 198.843733 277.033211
2025-09-28 7.205226 22.736845 47.908140 85.789665 137.016473 200.537200 282.287943
2025-10-05 6.901790 22.851907 49.151586 89.086583 143.390422 210.974949 298.188574
2025-10-12 6.330110 22.371787 49.435633 91.011125 147.949636 219.146506 311.333643
2025-10-19 5.356526 20.934447 48.131115 90.620245 149.404005 223.396931 319.661062
2025-10-26 4.432124 19.430669 46.616458 89.850678 150.297643 226.901674 327.044788
2025-11-02 3.833545 18.545974 46.048554 90.409037 152.941848 232.605119 337.133288
2025-11-09 3.129119 17.253261 44.711212 89.774246 153.929137 236.170751 344.555752
2025-11-16 2.629705 16.362210 43.995358 90.018240 156.082571 241.209432 353.800323
2025-11-23 2.052721 15.084565 42.512004 89.042709 156.517910 244.010069 360.232931